It will not be Israel that miscalculates. It will be the United States that unconsciously maneuvers Israel into facing a second holocaust. Being Armenian, unlike people in the West I understand the Middle East. If Armenia had two hundred nuclear bombs and was being overrun by Muslim armies and facing a second genocide I would nuke every Muslim city in the Middle East and also their allies in the West and the East. This is the great danger we are facing, not that Israel will attack Iran but that Iran will use or allow a nuclear weapon to be used against Israel which will result in a retaliatory nuclear attack against the Muslim world and their allies. This will crash all Middle Eastern oil production which will disrupt agricultural production resulting in the worldwide starvation of billions of people. With every day I see this outcome as more likely.